Mount Ontake eruption difficult to predict: CWB
Tue, Sep
30, 2014
The Central
Weather Bureau (CWB) yesterday said that a steam explosion caused the eruption
on Japan’s Mount Ontake and that the eruption had been difficult to forecast
due to a lack of signs, adding that a similar event hit the Datun Volcano Group
(大屯火山群) 6,000 years ago.
As of press
time, the eruption of Japan ’s
second-highest volcano on Saturday had killed 36 people and injured 63.
Though Ontake
is one of 47 active volcanoes on the Japan Meteorological Agency’s watchlist,
the agency did not issue a warning about a possible eruption.
CWB
Seismology Center Director Kuo Kai-wen (郭鎧紋) said that these are two different types of
eruptions.
“Before an
explosive eruption of lava occurs, there would be an increase in minor
earthquakes. Because of the signs, seismologists in the Philippines were able to issue warnings 68 days
before Mount Pinatubo erupted in 1992,” Kuo
said.
Kuo said the
signs for eruptions caused by steam explosions are less obvious, making them
more difficult to forecast.
He said that
the Japanese agency recorded 85 earthquakes in the vicinity of Mount Ontake
on Sept. 11, but the activity then gradually declined from Sept. 12 onward. As
such, the agency did not escalate its warnings, he said.
Steam
explosions happen when groundwater is heated by surging lava and the steam’s
pressure blows open the Earth’s crust, Kuo said.
A similar
event happened in the Datun Volcanic Group 6,000 years ago, he added.
“Eruptions
produce rocks like andesite. However, what geologists find on Datun is granite,
which is produced through the cooling and solidification of lava below the
Earth’s surface,” he said, adding that the discovery of granite rather than
andesite is seen as evidence of steam explosions.
Lava
explosions can cause much more damage than steam explosions. The eruption of Mount
Vesuvius in 79AD, for example, destroyed the city of Pompeii , Kuo said.
While Japan
monitors 47 volcanoes closely, Kuo said Taiwan’s weather bureau mainly monitors
the Datun Volcanic Group and volcanoes in the sea near Kueishan Island (龜山).
The bureau
has been closely monitoring the nation’s active volcanoes and none of them
shows any signs of erupting, Kuo said.
“Mud
volcanoes” that emerge occasionally in southern Taiwan are not really volcanoes, he
said, saying the phenomenon is simply muddy water gushing from under the ground.
Structure of
the Lead:
WHO- The Central Weather Bureau (CWB)
WHEN-yesterday
WHAT- a steam explosion
caused the eruption on Japan ’s
Mount Ontake and that the eruption had been difficult to forecast
WHY- a lack of signs
WHERE- Japan’s Mount Ontake
HOW-Not given
Keywords:
1.lava: 熔岩
1.lava: 熔岩
2. seismologist
: 地震學家
3. vicinity : 附近地區
4.crust : 外殼
5. andesite :安山石
6. granite : 花崗石
7. gush :湧出
It is hard to image the volcano eruption in Taiwan.But I hope there will be more advanced facilities to forecast when the volcano will erupt in the future.And we should learn how to escape when the volcano eruption happens.
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